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Nine Gaming Predictions for 2010

The end of the year offers a chance to look back on all that's come and gone in the past 12 months. It also offers a chance to use that knowledge of the past to bet on the outcome of the next 12 months for fun and profit.

To that end, I've taken a look at the larger trends in the game industry in 2009 and extrapolated them into predictions for 2010. With this list, I tried not to make vague guesses about the direction of the industry, but rather offer up concrete, testable hypotheses that can be evaluated at the end of the year. For each prediction, I've also offered up odds showing how confident I am in each prediction (betting against me at 2:1 means I pay one if I'm wrong, you pay two if I'm right), so that in a year's time, we can see if you'd have been better off betting with me or against me. (I know setting odds on my own predictions is a bit unfair, but I tried to come up with offers that would get a fair set of bids on both sides.)

Enough chitchat; here's the list. See you in a year!